This week, the XRP/USD pair resumed growth after the negative dynamics last Friday, which developed against the backdrop of the release of January data on the price index of personal consumption expenditures in the United States: the figure rose from 5.3% to 5.4% YoY. The increase in value reinforced the fears of experts in the continuation of the tightening cycle of the regulator's monetary policy, which supported the dollar and put pressure on alternative assets. On the background of these data, the price dropped to the area of 0.3655 but now it has returned to the middle line of Bollinger bands around 0.3800.
The situation on the market remains uncertain as investors await the final decision on the suit of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple, which should follow soon. The agency insists that the XRP coin, like other cryptocurrencies, except for BTC, is an unregistered security. Corporation lawyers reject the accusations, stating the imperfection of the current definition of the concept of "security" and referring to the statements of the former head of the SEC, William Hinman, who claimed that the ETH token, similar to XRP, is not one. Experts believe that Ripple has a high chance of winning the process. They note that the SEC had previously initiated a similar lawsuit against blockchain platform LBRY, accusing it offering its own LBC tokens but the court ruled that LBC could only be considered a security if there was an initial coin offering (ICO). If Ripple convinces the court that there was no official initial offering, the decision could be favorable for the company, and then leading exchanges such as Coinbase and Binance will re-list XRP, and its price will rise, leveling the negative effect of American monetary policy.
Now, the trading instrument is close to the middle line of Bollinger bands 0.3800, consolidation above which will give the prospect of resuming growth to 0.4150 (Murrey level [+1/8]) and 0.4330 (Fibonacci correction 23.6%). The key “bearish” level is 0.3662 (Murrey level [7/8]), a breakdown of which will provide a decline to 0.3418, 0.3662 (Murrey level [6/8]).
Technical indicators signal the continuation of the downward trend: Bollinger bands are reversing downwards, and the MACD histogram is growing in the negative zone. Stochastic rushed up, not excluding the resumption of positive dynamics.
Resistance levels: 0.3800, 0.4150, 0.4330. | Support levels: 0.3662, 0.3418.