Solid News

Pound is Consolidating Near Local Highs

1/27/2023 10:48 AM

The GBP/USD pair is trading in different directions, holding near the June local highs, updated at the beginning of the week. The instrument is at the level of 1.2400; however, after the release of the American macroeconomic statistics the day before, "bearish" sentiment clearly prevails on the market.

In particular, investors are assessing the dynamics of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2022: the economy slowed down from 3.2% to 2.9% as expected, while the forecast was 2.6%. This strengthens the position of the US Federal Reserve ahead of the first meeting on monetary policy this year, which will be held next week. It is possible that against the backdrop of a fairly stable economy, the regulator may raise interest rates by 50 basis points, but the most likely scenario is still an increment of 25 basis points. Additional support for the US currency was provided by data on the dynamics of Durable Goods Orders, the volume of which in December added 5.6% after falling by 1.7% in the previous month, while analysts expected an adjustment of only 2.5%. Excluding defense orders, the figure rose by 6.3% after falling by 2.3% in November, with a weak negative trend forecast to remain at the level of -0.1%.

Meanwhile, the British economy remains under pressure. According to statistics from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), government borrowing last month was 16.7 billion pounds higher than in 2021, driven by a sharp increase in compensation for higher electricity tariffs for households and companies, as well as an increase in liabilities on public debt to 17.3 billion pounds. In addition, by the end of last year, the United Kingdom's net public debt ratio in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached 2503.6 billion pounds, and the budget deficit was 27.4 billion pounds.


Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show moderate growth. The price range expands slightly, freeing a path to new local highs for the "bulls". MACD indicator tries to reverse downwards and to form a new sell signal (the histogram is about to consolidate below the signal line). Stochastic, which showed a decline at the beginning of the week, reversed upwards, again approaching its highs and indicating the risks of the pound being overbought in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.2400, 1.2500, 1.2600, 1.2700. | Support levels: 1.2311, 1.2240, 1.2150, 1.2084.


Find Us
Registered Address : Bonovo Road – Fomboni Island of Mohéli – Comoros Union
Sofia, PO Box 1407,14 Flip Kutev Str. Floor 2, Industrial area Hladilnika, Bulgaria
Call Us
+35 924 928 392


Disclaimer 1: Solid ECN Securities LLC and it affiliates does not accept clients from Turkey, United States, and Europe.
Disclaimer 2: The information provided on this site is not intended for residents of any country or jurisdiction where its distribution or use would violate local laws or regulations.
Risk Warnings
Solid ECN Securities LLC offers trading on Foreign Exchange (‘Forex’ or ‘FX’) and Contracts for Difference (‘CFDs’), which are complex financial products that are traded on margin. They carry a high level of risk since leverage can work both to your advantage and disadvantage. As a result, these products may not be suitable for all investors, as loss of all invested capital may occur. You should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Before deciding to trade, you need to ensure that you understand the risks involved and consider your investment objectives and level of experience. Seek independent advice, if necessary.
Solid ECN Securities LLC does not issue advice, recommendations or opinions in relation to acquiring, holding or disposing of a CFD. Solid ECN Securities LLC is not a financial advisor and all services are provided on an execution-only basis. This communication is not an offer or solicitation to enter into a transaction and shall not be construed as such.
This website is not directed at any jurisdiction and is not intended for any use that would be contrary to local law or regulation.
By using solidecn.com you agree to use our cookies to enhance your experience.
Solid ECN Securities LLC is authorized and regulated by the Comoros Union with reference number HY00623411.
Copyright All Right Reserved 2023 SolidECN.com