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USDJPY Market Update

8/26/2022 1:42 PM

After the publication of positive macroeconomic statistics, the yen is trying to take the lead in pairing with the US dollar. Now the USD/JPY pair is correcting around 137.00.

The price index for corporate goods and services remained at 2.1% YoY, slightly inferior to the 2.2% that analysts forecasted. This morning, data on the core consumer price index in Tokyo in August were published, according to which inflation rose in annual terms to 2.6% from 2.3% earlier. Full inflation-adjusted for fuel and food rose to 2.9% from 2.5% previously. As a rule, prices in Tokyo are very often close to the general value throughout the country, and the fact that it did not exceed 3.0% is a positive signal that allows the Bank of Japan to implement its policy of negative rates for some time.

The US economy remains in recession. It was confirmed by yesterday's data, according to which the Q2 gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 0.6%, slightly better than the analysts' forecast of –0.8%. The negative dynamics are due to a drop in the volume of private investment in inventories and consolidated capital and in spending by the federal and local governments. On the other hand, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits decreased to 243.0K from 245.0K a week earlier, which led to an adjustment in the total number of citizens receiving payments from the state to 1.415M from 1.434M a week earlier.


The trading instrument moves within the global uptrend, forming the Head and shoulders pattern. Technical indicators maintain a weakening buy signal: indicator Alligator's EMA oscillation range has begun to narrow, and the histogram of the AO oscillator is forming bars above the transition level.

Resistance levels: 137.45, 139.45. | Support levels: 136.15, 132.85.



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